2023年10月10日已讀 8 分鐘

传统的春季销售旺季来了，聚焦拍卖和租金情况

The traditional spring sales season has arrived, with a focus on auction and rental situations.

墨尔本

一周房产资讯速递

Melbourne Weekly Real Estate News Update

▪ 传统春季销售季到来，AFL决赛后拍卖量激增

Traditional spring sales season arrives with a surge in auctions after the AFL finals.

▪ 空置率创历史新高，租金飙升至新高

Vacancy rates reach historic highs, pushing rental prices to new highs.

▪ 一周拍卖

Weekly Auctions

1.传统春季销售季到来，AFL决赛后拍卖量激增

Traditional spring sales season arrives with a surge in auctions after the AFL finals.

传统春季销售季的到来使得房产市场升温，购房者竞相出价超过参考价，清盘率保持稳定，一切迹象都指向市场的上行。

Traditional spring sales season arrives with a surge in auctions after the AFL finals. The arrival of the traditional spring sales season has heated up the property market, with buyers competing to bid above the asking price, and the clearance rate remaining stable, all signs pointing towards an upward trend in the market.

根据CoreLogic的数据，上周悉尼和墨尔本的AFL决赛后，首府城市市场的拍卖量激增了一倍多，达到2,436件。供应量出现反弹，买家需求也很坚挺，全国初步清盘率为71%，而一周前为70.3%。悉尼的清盘率为69.7%，略低于一周前的71.7%，而墨尔本则升至78%。

According to data from CoreLogic, after the AFL finals in Sydney and Melbourne last week, auction volumes in capital city markets more than doubled, reaching 2,436 properties. Supply bounced back, and buyer demand remained strong, with a national preliminary clearance rate of 71%, up from 70.3% a week earlier. Sydney's clearance rate was 69.7%, slightly down from 71.7% the previous week, while Melbourne rose to 78%.

拍卖师格Greg Hocking表示，由于富有的现金买家竞相争夺市场上稀缺的优质房产，墨尔本内东区South Yarra的一栋四居室房屋周六以超出指导价75万澳元的价格售出。

Auctioneer Greg Hocking noted that in the competitive market with cash-rich buyers vying for scarce quality properties, a four-bedroom house in South Yarra's inner-eastern Melbourne sold on Saturday for well above its guide price, at $750,000 over the guide.

From：Realestate.com.au，42 Davis Avenue, South Yarra

这套位于42 Davis Avenue的住宅由Castran Gilbert挂牌出售，占地499平方米。指导价为425-465万澳元，底价为450万澳元，最终成交价为525万澳元。Hocking表示，这次拍卖反映了这条街的价格上涨，在相邻的40 Davis Avenue，有一栋面积为502平方米的四居室住宅，在3月份以460万澳元的价格售出。

The property at 42 Davis Avenue, South Yarra, listed by Castran Gilbert, sits on a 499-square-meter block, with a guide price of $4.25-4.65 million and a reserve of $4.5 million, ultimately selling for $5.25 million. Hocking mentioned that this auction reflected the rising prices on the street, with a neighboring four-bedroom residence at 40 Davis Avenue, measuring 502 square meters, selling for $4.6 million in March.

在悉尼内西区的 Burwood，75 Oxford Street的三居室住宅在拍卖会上以230万澳元的价格售出，轻松超出了175万澳元的底价。其最初指导价为150万澳元。

In Burwood, the inner-western suburb of Sydney, a three-bedroom house at 75 Oxford Street sold at auction for $2.3 million, comfortably surpassing its $1.75 million reserve. Its initial guide price was $1.5 million.

在弥补了去年利率开始上升时的损失之后，房价正在稳步上涨，并有望在今年晚些时候在全国范围内创下新高。根据 SQM Research 上周的分析，全国以及悉尼、布里斯班、阿德莱德和珀斯市场的要价已经创下历史新高。悉尼房屋的中位价创下历史最高记录，达到187.3万澳元。

After recovering from losses when interest rates began to rise last year, house prices are steadily increasing and are expected to hit new highs nationwide later this year. According to SQM Research's analysis last week, asking prices in national, Sydney, Brisbane, Adelaide, and Perth markets have already reached historic highs. The median house price in Sydney has set a new record at $1.873 million.

SQM Research创始人、资深分析师Louis Christopher表示，春季销售旺季的势头增强。“目前，市场对卖家有利，但幅度并不大。我仍然认为市场总体处于平衡状态，仅稍微有利于卖家，因此我们今年的价格一直在上涨。备受担忧的固定利率抵押贷款重置也许将导致成千上万的业主出售房产，并将造成市场下行。但目前没有这种情况发生，这并不是说没有压力，只是许多业主都设法坚持了下来。除非我们看到经济衰退，失业率确实达到5%或更高，否则这种令人担忧的固定抵押贷款利率重置应该不会产生任何重大不利影响。”

SQM Research founder and senior analyst Louis Christopher noted that the momentum of the spring sales season is growing. "Currently, the market is in favor of sellers, but not by a large margin. I still believe the market is generally balanced, just slightly tilted in favor of sellers, which is why we've been seeing price increases this year. The concerning fixed-rate mortgage resets may lead to thousands of homeowners selling their properties and cause a downturn in the market, but that hasn't happened yet. It's not to say there's no pressure; it's just that many homeowners have managed to hold on. Unless we see an economic recession and the unemployment rate indeed reaches 5% or higher, this worrisome fixed-rate mortgage reset shouldn't have any significant adverse effects."

根据CoreLogic的初步统计，在较小的市场中，布里斯班的初步清盘率为72.3%，堪培拉为56.5%，阿德莱德为80.8%。

According to preliminary statistics from CoreLogic in smaller markets, Brisbane had a preliminary clearance rate of 72.3%, Canberra at 56.5%, and Adelaide at 80.8%.

2. 空置率创历史新高，租金飙升至新高

Vacancy rates reach historic highs, pushing rental prices to new highs.

Domain的数据显示，9月份季度全国住宅租赁空置率重回历史低点0.8%，推动租金再创新高。悉尼和珀斯的空置率跌至历史最低水平，分别仅为0.9%和0.3%，而墨尔本、布里斯班、阿德莱德和达尔文则跌至新低，不足1%。首都领地和霍巴特的房价也出现紧缩，但空置率分别保持在1%和1.6%。

According to Domain's data, the national residential rental vacancy rate returned to a historic low of 0.8% in the September quarter, driving rental prices to new highs. Sydney and Perth saw vacancy rates drop to historic lows of just 0.9% and 0.3%, respectively, while Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide, and Darwin fell to new lows, all below 1%. The house prices in the Australian Capital Territory and Hobart also contracted, but vacancy rates remained at 1% and 1.6%, respectively.

今年4月份，全国空置率首次创下历史新低，当时空置率降至0.8%。Domain研究和经济主管Nicola Powell表示：“近几个月来，我们看到空置率收紧，而且由于我们没有看到新的供应进入租赁市场，空置率还在进一步下降。为了让租赁市场恢复到2-3%的空置率，即供需平衡的水平，我们可能还需要将Newcastle当地政府辖区的所有住宅添加到今天的租赁市场。因此不幸的是，租金可能会继续上涨，尽管中期增速会放缓。”

In April of this year, the national vacancy rate reached a historic low for the first time, dropping to 0.8%. Nicola Powell, Domain's Research and Economics Director, said, "In recent months, we've seen the vacancy rate tighten, and because we haven't seen new supply entering the rental market, the vacancy rate is further declining. To bring the rental market back to a vacancy rate of 2-3%, which is a balanced supply-demand level, we might need to add all residential properties within the Newcastle local government area to today's rental market. So, unfortunately, rents are likely to continue rising, although the pace of growth may slow in the medium term."

首府以及除堪培拉和霍巴特以外的所有城市的房屋租金均已跃升至历史新高。根据Domain的数据，墨尔本以5.8%的季度涨幅领先，珀斯紧随其后，增长3.4%，悉尼增长2.9%，布里斯班和阿德莱德增长均超过1%。CoreLogic的单独分析显示，与独立屋相比，单位租金的季度增长显着放缓，尤其是在悉尼和墨尔本。整个公寓行业的租金增长速度已骤降三分之二以上，较9月份所在季度仅增长1.3%。

Rental prices for houses in all capital cities, except Canberra and Hobart, have reached historic highs. According to Domain's data, Melbourne leads with a quarterly increase of 5.8%, followed closely by Perth at 3.4%, Sydney at 2.9%, and both Brisbane and Adelaide with increases of over 1%. CoreLogic's separate analysis shows a significant slowdown in the quarterly growth of unit rents, especially in Sydney and Melbourne. The rental growth rate for the entire apartment sector has dropped by more than two-thirds, increasing only by 1.3% in the quarter ending in September.

CoreLogic研究总监Tim Lawless表示，单元房的承受能力不断恶化，加上可能转向大型出租家庭，可能有助于重新平衡这两种房产类型之间的需求。“悉尼和墨尔本的单位租金增长速度明显失去动力，独立屋再次显示出更强劲的租金增长，”他说。“可能存在季节性因素，因为悉尼和墨尔本都是海外留学生的中心。”

Tim Lawless, Research Director at CoreLogic, stated that the affordability of unit rentals continues to deteriorate, and a potential shift towards larger rental homes may help rebalance the demand between these two property types. "Unit rental growth rates in Sydney and Melbourne have clearly lost momentum, with detached houses once again showing stronger rental growth," he said. "There may be seasonal factors at play as both Sydney and Melbourne are central to overseas students."

在9月份这个季度，悉尼的独立屋租金上涨了2%，而单元房租金仅上涨了1.2%。同样，墨尔本独立屋租金上涨了3%，是单元房租金上涨1.2%的两倍多。据CoreLogic的数据，悉尼经济适用房市场的房屋租金涨幅最大，其中以Cabramatta West为首，租金上涨7.9%，即月租金上涨183澳元。

In the September quarter, house rents in Sydney increased by 2%, while unit rents only rose by 1.2%. Similarly, in Melbourne, house rents increased by 3%, more than double the 1.2% increase in unit rents. According to CoreLogic's data, the largest increase in house rents in Sydney's affordable housing market was in Cabramatta West, with rents rising by 7.9%, equivalent to a monthly increase of $183.

Whalan、Auburn、Fairfield和Tregear的季度租金涨幅均超过6.6%，平均每月增加约150澳元。与此同时，珀斯的Midland和墨尔本的Airport West同期分别上涨了7%和6.5%。

Whalan, Auburn, Fairfield, and Tregear all saw quarterly rental increases of over 6.6%, averaging around $150 per month. Meanwhile, Midland in Perth and Airport West in Melbourne increased by 7% and 6.5%, respectively, during the same period.

租赁供应进一步减少，租赁挂牌量降至2012年11月以来的最低水平，仅有90,153套可供出租。这相当于租金缺口约为47,500套，挂牌房屋总数比去年同期水平低15.1%，比前五年平均水平低34.5%。

Rental supply further decreased, with the number of rental listings falling to the lowest level since November 2012, at only 90,153 properties available for rent. This translates to a rental shortfall of approximately 47,500 properties, with the total number of listed properties down 15.1% from the same period last year and 34.5% below the five-year average.

3.一周拍卖

Weekly Auctions

根据维多利亚房地产协会REIV（Real Estate Institute of Victoria）官方统计，截止10月8日周日，整个维州共进行了743场有结果的房产拍卖，总清盘率78%。

According to official statistics from the Real Estate Institute of Victoria (REIV), as of Sunday, October 8th, a total of 743 property auctions were conducted throughout the state of Victoria, with an overall clearance rate of 78%.

接下来是拍卖的详细情况，在进行的总共743场拍卖中，共有581套房子成功出售！其中423套在拍卖会售出，162套在拍卖前售出，拍卖总价值6.13亿澳元。

Here are the detailed auction results: Out of the 743 auctions held, a total of 581 properties were successfully sold. Among these, 423 properties were sold at the auctions themselves, while 162 were sold prior to the auction, resulting in a total auction value of AUD 613 million.